The model portfolios have had strong performance, returning between 11% and 14%, through June 30, 2009 outperforming all other similar asset allocation funds.
Our tilt to Growth across all equity classes has contributed to the relative outperformance in the second quarter. We expect that the tilt to Growth will be decreased in the third quarter as the cash flows into the equity markets slow and forward earnings expectations become fairly priced.
In addition, the inflation/deflation tilt has performed well year-to-date, with the gold allocation returning more than 5% and the inflation-protected treasuries returning almost 4%. We don’t foresee any changes to the inflation/deflation tilt over the next few quarters.
Outlook
The investment environment looks to be difficult going into the third and fourth quarters, with returns to traditional equity and fixed income classes below historic norms. We continue to monitor the linkages between asset classes to identify a possible return to the lows experienced in the first quarter.